基于混合高斯概率密度的加权打分方法

针对当前评比打分方法不能有效反映选手真实情况的问题,提出了一种基于混合高斯概率密度的加权打分方法。该方法的重点在于引入混合高斯分布来确定专家评分的权重。首先利用EM算法确定混合高斯分布模型参数,然后通过区间划分得到每个区间上的概率,再将专家打分映射到混合高斯概率密度函数区间上得到对应的权重,最后经加权求和得到选手的最终成绩。通过实例证明了该方法的合理性和公正性。     

战略后方仓库综合技术保障中心建设方案评估

构建了后方仓库综合技术保障中心建设方案综合评估指标体系,先运用多人层次分析法对评价指标进行主观赋权,再对指标权值加以客观修正,从而得到较为客观准确的综合权重,最后运用模糊综合评价法对若干备选方案进行评判,得到各备选方案的评级结果,并从中选择最优方案。算例分析表明,该方法能够较好地适用于建设方案的评价,得出的量化描述结果可以作为建设方案评判与选择的参考依据。     

油罐基础渗漏油气扩散模型研究

基于油罐基础渗漏特征,结合实验数据,提出油罐动态渗漏边界条件,建立油罐基础渗漏油气扩散数学模型。采用有限差分法对扩散过程进行数值模拟,结合同工况实验室及现场油罐基础渗漏数据进行对比分析,并对模型的准确性和可靠度进行了验证。结果表明,模型计算结果与实验数据吻合较好,相对误差在可接受范围内,该模型能够准确预测监测点油气到达时刻,揭示油气渗漏扩散规律。     

火炮身管无损检测方法

为了延长火炮身管寿命,进一步提高射击精度。研究火炮身管缺陷检测技术,结合身管不同的损伤类型,通过比较不同的身管检测方法,讨论它们的优缺点和发展前景,并得出相控聚焦超声导波检测新技术的优越性,应用在火炮身管检测中,可占据优势地位,使其可以更好地投入到军队的实际应用中,提高作战效能。     

Monitoring and Prediction of the Vibration Intensity of Seismic Waves Induced in Underwater Rock by Underwater Drilling and Blasting

All underwater drilling and blasting operations generate seismic waves.However,due to a lack of suitable vibration sensing instruments,most studies on the propagation of seismic waves have been limited to shorelines near construction areas or wharfs,whereas comparatively few studies have been conducted on the larger seafloor itself.To address this gap,a seafloor vibration sensor system was developed and applied in this study that consists of an autonomous acquisition storage terminal,soft-ware platform,and hole-plugging device that was designed to record the blasting vibration intensities received through submarine rocks at a given measurement point.Additionally,dimensional analyses were used to derive a predictive equation for the strength of blast vibrations that considered the in-fluence of the water depth.By combining reliable vibration data obtained using the sensor system in submarine rock and the developed predictive equation,it was determined that the water depth was an important factor influencing the measured vibration strength.The results using the newly derived equation were compared to those determined using the Sadowski equation,which is commonly used on land,and it was found that predictions using the derived equation were closer to the experimental values with an average error of less than 10％,representing a significant improvement.Based on these results,the developed sensor system and preliminary theoretical basis was deemed suitable for studying the propagation behavior of submarine seismic waves generated by underwater drilling and blasting operations.     

火力演进与陆军战术变革的回顾

自从火药发明并应用于军事领域之后,战争便逐渐步入热兵器时代。此后,陆军火力随着武器装备的发展不断发生变化,陆军战术因此在400余年的时间里经历了4次大的变革,分别是前装药滑膛火器时期的线式和纵队战术、后装药线膛火器时期的散兵线战术、机械化系列火器时期的诸兵种合同战术和信息促成火器融合时期的多军种联合战术。     

战术指挥情报终端的插件式软件框架设计

复杂多变的现代战场环境要求指挥信息系统在满足基本作战需求的前提下,还应具备功能的高可伸缩性。以该军事需求为牵引,提出了一种以开源跨平台开发库Qt为基础平台的、基于微内核思想的QPAF插件式软件框架设计方法,深入阐述了QPAF的系统架构、插件扩展及管理机制以及框架运行机理,详细介绍了QPAF及其插件的实现方法。在某边境防务战术指挥情报终端的应用结果表明,QPAF框架设计方法同时兼顾了系统的稳定性与灵活性,使软件具备了很强的动态演化能力。     

Opening behavior of PELE perforation on reinforced concrete target

Impact velocity (v0), target strength (fc) and target thickness (hc) are important factors affecting opening damage ((D)) of PELE penetration into RC target. In this paper, based on the three influence factors of v0, fc and hc, experimental and numerical simulation studies on PELE penetration into RC target were carried out. The study results show that: (1) Since interaction force (or penetration resistance) between pro-jectile and target is positively correlated with v0 and fc, with the increase of v0 and fc, deformation mode of jacket is changed from small bending deformation to large bending deformation and then to curling deformation. Therefore, the variation of jacket deformation mode causes opening diameter of RC target to increase first and then to decrease. It is found that the two factors approximately satisfy a quadratic function relationship, respectively. (2) For PELE projectile penetrating RC targets with thickness of 80—400 mm, the opening diameter of six sets of RC targets grows from 240 to 500 mm, and hc with (D) approximately satisfy a linear relationship. (3) Based on the above study results, the relationship be-tween two dimensionless parameters (I= (mv20/d31fc) and H= hc/l ) and dimensionless opening diameter ((D)/d1) was determined. Combined with the results of previous research, a dimensionless opening diameter model (D)/d1=f1(Q,G,I)f2(H) was established. By tests verified, the test results are all within ±10％error of the theoretical model, which verifies the accuracy of the model.     

Interval uncertain optimization for damping fluctuation of asegmented electromagnetic buffer under intensive impact load

Aiming at the problems of demagnetization effect of electromagnetic buffer (EMB) caused by high ve-locity under intensive impact load and the difficulty and error of machining composite thin-walled long tube, a segmented EMB is proposed. The inner tube and air-gap are divided into initial segments and the traversing segments. Through theoretical analysis, impact test and simulation, it can be found that the RRF curve has two peaks. Firstly, in order to reduce the resultant resistance force (RRF) peaks, the sensitivity analysis based on optimal Latin hypercube design (OLHD) and polynomial regression was performed. The results show that the smallest contribution ratio to the dynamic response is the seventh and ninth segments of the inner tube, which are less than 1％. Then, fully considering the uncertain factors, important parameters are selected for uncertain optimization after sensitivity analysis. The in-terval order and interval probability degree methods are used to establish interval uncertain optimiza-tion model of the RRF considering robustness. The model was solved using an interval nested optimization method based on radial basis function (RBF) neural network. Finally, the Pareto front is obtained and numerical simulation is performed to verify the optimal value. It indicates that the two kinds of RRF peak is obviously reduced, and the optimization object and strategy are effective.     

Rigid elliptical cross-section ogive-nose projectiles penetration into concrete targets

The elliptical cross-section ogive-nose projectile (ECOP) has recently attracted attention because it is well suited to the flattened shape of earth-penetrating weapons. However, the penetration performance of ECOPs has not been completely understood. The objective of this study was to investigate the pene-tration performance of ECOPs into concrete targets using a theoretical method. A general geometric model of ECOPs was introduced, and closed-form penetration equations were derived according to the dynamic cavity-expansion theory. The model was validated by comparing the predicted penetration depths with test data, and the maximum deviation was 15.8％. The increment in the penetration depth of the ECOP was evaluated using the proposed model, and the effect of the major—minor axis ratio on the increment was examined. Additionally, the mechanism of the penetration-depth increment was inves-tigated with respect to the caliber radius head, axial stress, and resistance.